Jupiler League Week 7 Saturday Previews

in #newslast month (edited)

These are previews from matches involving Belgian Teams with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries along with my personal betting angles, ...

I should have taken the over especially at the start of the 2nd half in the match yesterday but didn't manage to pull the trigger. I did get some small corner bets in live which did well though. So far the week has been good which always tends to happen when I take a low profile. 3 matches today, same approach...

Beerschot vs Waasland

Waasland has been the weakest team in the league so far and don't seem to be good enough to compete in the league. They both manage to score goals but get plenty of goals against (9 Scored - 18 Against in 6 matches). Beerschot so far both played excellent matches (vs Club Brugge, Zulte, Genk) and some really poor matches (vs Standard & Charleroi). From what it looks like, they are playing more forward at home(4.67 goals) compared to away (2.67 Goals). Based on the numbers, I took an early bet on Over 3.5 @ 2.77 for small stakes (0.252 units) as that is what the limits allowed me to get. One of the stats that mostly stands out the 2nd half over for Waasland which has an average of over 3 goals while Beerschot at home also has an average of over 3 2nd Half goals. A blowout home win is an obvious choice in this match and I would not be surprised to see the odds on it drop further during the day. Based on what I've seen in terms of what these teams are capable of, I had to take a small position on Beerschot -1.25 @ 1.892. Waasland only managed to create 1.66 corners on average in away matches while this number is at 5 for Beerschot. The Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.48 is also a position I took pre-game with an eye to trade out of it live if possible. It should be a fun match and I anticipate more bets live.

Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden

Mechelen is a team that got on the good side of variance last season when it came down to finishing their chances but have been on the bad side of variance this season. They basically create quite a lot of big chances but their efficiency has been quite poor. This is one of the reasons why they are on a 4-game losing streak currently. Sint-Truiden is just above them in the rankings and only managed to get 2 points from the last 5 matches. They lost 3-0 deserved last Monday away against Cercle Brugge. I'm expecting a home side that will go for it from the start but have a hard time seeing any value in a -0.75 line on a team that has lost their last 4 matches. I'm keeping all my options open for potential live bets based on how things look in the match. Mechelen 1st Half -0.25 @ 1.943 is the one I'm closest to take since they have done quite well during their 1st halves while Stvv so far is at the bottom 1st half standings away with 0 points. No Pre-Game Bets

AA Gent vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven

So AA Gent is in between Champions League qualifier matches and lost 1-2 at home to Kiev on Wednesday. Often times, coaches rotate in order to maximize the chances for the more important qualifier matches. AA Gent is still struggling though and it simply was not good enough against Kiev. Chakvetadze and Kums are still injured while Defender Ngadeu is suspended. looking at the average shots on goal, AA Gent is leading the rankings wit a whopping 6.5 overall and 9.5 at home. OHL comes in at a respectable 4.8 chances with 3.7 Away. both are also quite high on getting attempts against them. It's clear that the total line which is set at O 3.25 is based on these numbers. Leuven played a really bad match last week away against a good Oostende and seem to be feeling the many injuries after coping with them very well at the start of the season. AA Gent saw both teams score in 13 of their last 15 home matches while Leuven saw both teams score in 12 of their last 13 away games. Odds on it is just below 1.70 which is something I rarely take. I will wait it out live and see how it goes. No Pre-Game Bets

Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. All my bigger pre-game & Live bets can automatically be followed on Copytip

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Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

MonthBetsWonLostPushStakedProfit BTCROI
Jan 202011000.0100+0.01271+127%
Dec 201920200.0200-0.002000-100%
Nov 201921100.0200-0.001800-9.00%
Oct 201941300.0400-0.020800-52.00%
Sep 201943010.0400+0.028890+72.22%
Aug 2019107300.1000+0.033860+33.86%
July 201922000.0200+0.018000+90.0%
Jun 201900000.0000+0.000000+0.00%
May 201970520.0700-0.050000-71.43%
Apr 201953200.0500+0.024170+48.34%
Mar 201973310.0700+0.004120+5.89%
Feb 201964200.060+0.023210+23.21%
Jan 2019100910.100-0.079640-79.64%
Dec 20181541010.150-0.058880-39.25%
Nov 20181771000.170-0.032170-18.92%
Oct 2018156900.150-0.028290-18.86%
Sep 20181413010.140+0.141820+101,3%
Aug 201885120.080+0.045470+56.84%
Jul 2018178900.135+0.033590+24.88%
Jun 2018157710.150+0.018200+12.13%
May 201822000.020+0.023440+117%
Feb 2018123810.091-0.036293-39,88%
Jan 201821101010.147+0.005800+3.95%
Dec 2017199820.148+0.010422+7.04%
Nov 201721111000.210-0.008030-3.82%
Oct 201721101010.210+0.003080+1.46%
Sep 201794410.090+0.001440+1.60%