As you already know - if you did not spent the last 7 days in a cave or the ultimate wilderness with no mobile-phone reception - drugwars pivoted from the crappy obyte based future token to the mighty steem-engine based DWD token.
The transition and transfer between drugwars and steemengine is just so incredibly smooth that I had to pinch myself if I am dreaming or not: Just one click and there it is in your steemengine wallet.
This is a win win win situation:
Its good for DW because there is now a realistic chance for a functioning eco-system on DW (also its a long way..)
Its good for steem-engine because every DW player will now also be steemengine user and will experience (and subsequently love and use) this great marketplace and tool
Its good for steem because its good for steem-engine and DW.
Again - this is by no means a trading or investment advice and I will in fractions of seconds be possibly long, short DWD or any token I am talking about or doing the exact opposite. Just ask your financial advisor - and do not rely on my posts!
However - just as predicted - there are wild swings in the price and hence great trading opportunities in the DW token.
So this are the facts I consider to make up your mind about the fair value of DWD:
1.) Sales price in the game: 1 steem = 3 DWD, or 1 DWD = 0.33 steem
2.) Outstanding DWD: atm 212,768
3.) Total possible outstanding DWD: 10 Mio.
4.) current inflation: today 4,880 DWD, or 1.78 Mio. p.a. but! this seems to change every day!
At the current marketprice of 0.035 BID to 0.039 ASK you would need between 7,500 and 8,500 steem to buy all (atm:212,768) outstanding DWD token.
What you also should consider: how many steem does DW still hold and are they happy with the current marketprice?
I will give you more hints in the next days about what I think how to get down to the fair value...
And I am also looking very much forward to the implementation of the nextcolony token on steemengine!