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RE: SBD Potato Day 53: Make SBD $1 Again!

in #sbdpotato11 months ago (edited)

SBD won't increase back up to it's USD soft peg unless there's a reason to speculate on it, or if it gets pumped and dumped again. People buy SBD with Steem to use minnowbooster and the like, but minnowbooster turns around and sells it again on the market for Steem, making SBD a contrived token. Its only speculative value is for arbitrage, and that use case is already controlled by whales that are betting on you trying to outsmart them.

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Continuing to buy SBD and reducing the supply by converting it is enough to increase the price. This has been demonstrated numerous times in the past.

The probem now is simply too much SBD in circulation because it was ignored for a long while. If @sbdpotato had started earlier there is a good chance it would already be back at $1.

Preach it @smooth! :)

Supply and price don't necessarily correlate. If you divide the circulating supply of steem by the circulating supply of SBD, you get a 48.5 to 1 ratio, yet the price of SBD is only about 4.5 to 1 against Steem (currently).

There are other factors at play that dictate the price of SBD, some of them internal that are set by the miners. You can buy up SBD all day and they could turn back on the faucets if they need to increase the supply.

Not disagreeing because I like to be disagreeable, just giving a fair warning that SBD prices are rigged and decreasing supply won't change that.

Supply and price don't necessarily correlate in general, but they do in this case because supply dictates the haircut rule on conversions. Currently the conversion rate (w/haircut) is 1 SBD into about $0.66 worth of STEEM and sure enough the market price (looking at exchanges with a working wallet such as Bittrex) is right at $0.66.

Continually reducing the supply of SBD guarantees that the debt ratio and, therefore haircut, will decline as long as STEEM has any value at all, meaning convertibility into $1 worth of STEEM will return and so will a market price of about $1. Now it is possible that a market price of $1 will happen sooner, but that part is speculative.

BTW the above-mentioned debt ratio also controls the spigot. Other than the very small amount going into the SPS treasury, no new SBD will be produced until the debt ratio is reduced below the point where convertibility into $1 worth of STEEM is restored. The only other way this could happen would be extreme manipulation of the price feed data by witnesses. That's a theoretical possibility but very, very unlikely (both IMO and from experience).