Jupiler League Week 18 saturday Previews
I didn't manage to make a preview for the match between Charleroi and Anderlecht yesterday but did post my thoughts and bets on the SBC Discord Channel just before kick-off which worked out exactly as anticipated with good profit to start off the weekend.
2 matches today are postponed leaving me with 2 to take a closer look at...
Zulte-Waregem vs Sint-Truiden
Zulte-Waregem won 0-1 score away against Antwerp who are out of form taking a 0 on 9 a couple of days ago. They mainly won because Antwerp was simply not good enough and I still have a hard time to trust them given of what they have shown so far this season being highly unreliable. They are however without a loss in their last 3 matches and took 3 wins in the last 5 now having some breathing space above the relegation places. Sint-Truiden had a coach change and dropped to the last place after 6 matches without a win. They saw their mid-week match being postponed which should give them an edge on fitness even though at the same time they lacked that near the end of their last match against Charleroi. Both teams show overish stats mostly because they get a lot of goals against when playing better teams. Zulte on average 2.38 against at home and Stvv on average 2.63 away. They both aren't free-scoring teams ranking in at the bottom of the average attempts on goal with 3.7 & 3.4. Bottom teams who get a new coach also usually first start with setting the defensive end straight while Zulte-Waregem is missing both Chory & Dompé. The pitch in Waregem was also in a bad condition the last match. While Zulte-Waregem matches always have the potential to turn out in crazy games, the current situation made me take positions with a medium stake combined on Under 3 @ 1.90 & 1st Half Under 1.25 @ 1.847 . Given the difference in form, I'm also forced to take a small position on Zulte-Waregem +0 @ 1.940.Racing Genk vs Krotrijk
Racing Genk got themselves into a big 7-game winning streak where it was the case where taking the points made them play better. last weekend, this was broken with a poor performance against Anderlecht where they lost 1-0. Right now, I have no clue they will be able to just pick things up again or if the loss has broken something in the form they had. Kortrijk remains a team that goes over in home matches and under in away matches which stays my main betting angle to look at. They also remain an excellent away team going 5W-0.5L-0.5P against the Asian handicap on closing lines. Genk is also quite good at home going 5W-3L so these somewhat cancel each other out. The same goes for the under as Genk on average had 3.88 goals at home going 6W-1L. Basically, all possible pre-game betting angles cancel each other out in this match so I'm just going to wait to see what it brings in-game. No Pre-Game BetsPre-Game Preview Bets I continue to share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts. Most of them are smaller bets or trading positions and some of them I took early in the week and might not have the exact same odds available. These bets should just be seen as info and not as something to blindly follow. Record on them so far this season is 148 Bets | +18.45% ROI on Flat Unit bets (See Results) Bigger pre-game bets which are rare these days I also tend to take extra on those in BTC.
Season 2020-2021 BTC Bets
Date | Bet | mBTC | Odds | Result | Betslip |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/11/2020 | Antwerp -0.5 | 10 | 3.50 | -10 | sportbet.one |
03/10/2020 | OHL vs Zulte 1H Under 1.25 | 10 | 2.010 | +5.005 | sportbet.one |
Bookies, Projects & Platforms I use...
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Month | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit BTC | ROI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan 2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0100 | +0.01271 | +127% |
Dec 2019 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0200 | -0.002000 | -100% |
Nov 2019 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0200 | -0.001800 | -9.00% |
Oct 2019 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.0400 | -0.020800 | -52.00% |
Sep 2019 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0400 | +0.028890 | +72.22% |
Aug 2019 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.1000 | +0.033860 | +33.86% |
July 2019 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0200 | +0.018000 | +90.0% |
Jun 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0000 | +0.000000 | +0.00% |
May 2019 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0.0700 | -0.050000 | -71.43% |
Apr 2019 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.0500 | +0.024170 | +48.34% |
Mar 2019 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.0700 | +0.004120 | +5.89% |
Feb 2019 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.060 | +0.023210 | +23.21% |
Jan 2019 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0.100 | -0.079640 | -79.64% |
Dec 2018 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0.150 | -0.058880 | -39.25% |
Nov 2018 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0.170 | -0.032170 | -18.92% |
Oct 2018 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0.150 | -0.028290 | -18.86% |
Sep 2018 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0.140 | +0.141820 | +101,3% |
Aug 2018 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.080 | +0.045470 | +56.84% |
Jul 2018 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0.135 | +0.033590 | +24.88% |
Jun 2018 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0.150 | +0.018200 | +12.13% |
May 2018 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.020 | +0.023440 | +117% |
Feb 2018 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0.091 | -0.036293 | -39,88% |
Jan 2018 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.147 | +0.005800 | +3.95% |
Dec 2017 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0.148 | +0.010422 | +7.04% |
Nov 2017 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0.210 | -0.008030 | -3.82% |
Oct 2017 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.210 | +0.003080 | +1.46% |
Sep 2017 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.090 | +0.001440 | +1.60% |
Total | 266 | 124 | 126 | 16 | 2.491 | +0.092319 | +3.71% |
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