Stocks Market Omni-Bubble is Has Eclipsed Dot Com Bubble & Only Seconded By The Great Depression | Based on 100 Years of Data

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90s were a great time. Technology was broadcasting the horizons of what was possible and world was moving fast towards a better future. Markets overestimated too much and there was too much hype and too many scams and horrible businesses and it all came crashing down after creating the biggest stock bubble in USA after the great depression.

The dot com bubble has now been dethroned by the frenzy following the COVID-19 manufactured crisis and the indicators don't seem like they would stop soon. There has been little bit of slowing down, but I think the ratios will be going higher and higher.

Things Were Already Bad By 2017

Stock to GDP.png

The data comes from World Bank and the chart can be found here. The chart shows Stock Market Capitalization to GDP for United States. This is one of the worst charts among several other countries which can be found below:

Stock Market Capitalization to Global GDP was discontinued while things were looking bad in 2015: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DDDM011WA156NWDB

Wilshire 5000 to GDP on Monday (November 2nd, 2020)

wilshire5000gdpratio.jpeg

The Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index, or more simply the Wilshire 5000, is a market-capitalization-weighted index of the market value of all US-stocks actively traded in the United States. As of December 31, 2019, index contained only 3,473 components. The index is intended to measure the performance of most publicly traded companies headquartered in the United States, with readily available price data, (Bulletin Board/penny stocks and stocks of extremely small companies are excluded). Hence, the index includes majority of the common stocks and REITs traded primarily through New York Stock Exchange, NASDAQ, or the American Stock Exchange. Limited partnerships and ADRs are not included.

DOW to GDP Ratio in The Last 100 Years

dowjonesgdpratio.jpeg

S&P 500 to GDP in The Last 100 Years

sp500gdpratio.jpeg

All of This Under Horrible Odds for Economic Prosperity

You could say people were too hyped and overestimated things in the dot com bubble or the previous crypto bull markets and ICO craze. In the case of post COVID-19 world, we have businesses destroyed and cronies getting rich while people are without much funds for discretionary spending. Many don't even have enough to eat and have a roof over their heads. The stock markets have become evidently delusional. This is a comment I made to @toofasteddie

Not even crypto will be fully safe from turmoil. At this point I only see two options working. Quick short term trades cashing in on trends, hype, pumps etc. and investing into projects with great potential like HIVE, LEO, @splinterlands, Hashgraph, Dash, BAT etc.

Be Warned - Be Prepared

You can't change the policies and you can't change these crazy economic and political masquerades and general stupidity. Get ready to have a minimalist lifestyle. Get ready to be more self-sufficient in food and energy. Above all, get ready to HODL. Trading is going to be tough. Unless you are a skilled day trader, you are unlikely to get good results for the efforts you put in. Don't expect any Lamborghini rides in the next years. Find some time to become spiritual and focus on things other than the material.

Along the way, along the years..... you will come across opportunities to invest in the next wave of startups and world changing projects.

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7 comments
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Nice one, I like your philosophy of life, regarding buying and holding and getting our spiritual life together. As for bitcoin, I am backing it above the alts, only because I am an amateur and am playing it safe. Not even trading on the way up in this bull market.

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That is a fine strategy. We are likely to experience a surge of altcoin prices after BTC reach something like 20K and get back on the mainstream news again. Do you research well and invest wisely with your gains. If you are not sure enough about where to put your money, there is no shame in taking your money out of BTC and wait for the markets to settle down.

Trading, especially day trading can be a very difficult job. I wouldn't recommend it to most people. With 24/7 markets it is difficult to have a good peace of mind as a trader.

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Hey there thanks for the inspiring words regarding the alts. I am a bit despondent about the value of Hive, for example and not inspired to keep posting for such low returns daily, after 2 years here. I have never seen Steem/Hive rise in value, only fall in the past three years, so I have no hopes for it. I will need to see the proof first before I get bullish on Hive. If you say post $20k BTC will reignite the alts bull market, then that sounds hopeful.

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I don't worry much about HIVE price. What I care about real developments going on. The chain has improved so far over its lifetime and the community has grown a lot. https://hivepay.io can allow merchants to accept

  • 171 Fiat Currencies
  • 108 HIVE-Engine Tokens
  • HIVE
  • HBD
    at only 0.5% fees. These developments are going to help a lot.

I think we have a communications bubble formed because we are on a social media focused blockchain. When outside interest comes through DAPPs like @splinterlands and @leofinance we are going to get more demand eventually. Don't forget that HIVE doesn't have any real competition yet.

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Great to see that there are some people on Leo finance that get what the plan is!

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