Productivity J Curve: Get Ready For A Massive Increase

in LeoFinance9 days ago

It is no secret the global economy, led by the United States, has sucked the last couple decades. Estimates are that the growth rate the last decade was half of what it was in the 1990s and early 2000s.

We saw these results in spite of massive technological advancements. Hence, we have a disconnect on what is taking place.

Actually, there is nothing amiss with this. In fact, it could be summed up as the "J Curve" of productivity.

image.png
Source

Technological Curve

As we can see, the typical curve is that as a change is made, things actually decline. This ends up pulling productivity down, in this case due to a technological implementation. Once time passes, the impact starts to move up, surpassing the original starting point.

This summarizes what has taken place with companies the last decade. They were on a J Curve of productivity due to technological implementation.

If we consider what companies did, we can see clearly how this unfolded.

Over the last decade, companies implemented a great deal of technology. They did this by purchasing software programs or investing in robotics. However, these are added as auxiliary pieces. They were not central parts of most organizations.

In other words, many entities added software programs yet did not were not software-based companies. While there was an impact due to the addition, it was not a wholesale change.

That is starting to evolve. We are seeing companies learning to address their issues through technology. No matter what the industry, it is becoming a larger part of the business model. Efficiencies are being realized as the integration takes place on a wider scale.

The result of this is that we are going to enjoy radical output with less resources going forward.

COVID-19 Acceleration

We all read the surveys that are clearly showing how most companies are planning to accelerate the implementation of automation due to the pandemic. Whether it is because of the social distancing, rising wages in some industries, or simply because the ROI is making more sense, corporations are all moving in this direction.

One other facet of this discussion that is not often brought up is the fact that companies were able to restructure during the pandemic. Since employees were sent home (laid off) during the lockdown, it enabled institutions to alter their internal workings. This meant that a lot of old systems were discarded and replaced with new models.

Of course, one of the casualties of this is employment. Many industries are showing massive declines in workers as automation takes over.

This acceleration is allowing many entities to finally start working their way up the curve. At some point, the more efficient use of resources is going to massively increase production. It was something we saw evolve over a number of decades in the manufacturing sector.

Advancement of Technology

There is one other factor in this equation that is worthy to note. Compared to we were dealing with a decade ago, we are much further ahead. Technology advanced a tremendous amount over the last decade.

So while companies became more adept at integrating technology into their core operations, the technology itself was better. This means that the results are that much improved.

For example, there was a time when machine learning programs were about 70% accurate. Today, they improved to the point where they are better than humans at identifying certain things. Hence, companies can implement them with much greater results than before.

All of this will compound the effects that are received in the years ahead. With stronger technology, more accommodating organizations, and different structures, we are on the cusp of a tremendous change.

The "Productivity J Curve" is a well known economic theory. We have seen it transpire in many instances. Presently, we are seeing how it is applied to technology. That means we can expect massive increases in production going forward.

It will be interesting to see how much of a boost we see by the end of the decade.


If you found this article informative, please give an upvote and rehive.

gif by @doze

screen_vision2025_1.png

logo by @st8z

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

Sort:  

It's so crazy to think about but I do it often. About how the Covid lock down actually advanced things as a much more rapid pace that were eventually going to happen anyways later on in the future. Seems like we are now just getting our footing but soon will be taking off!

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

Technological advancement always outpaces the embracing of it by humans. COVID just accelerated the embracing.

Look at video conferencing. That was available for 10 years but few companies used it. No longer is that the case.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

I don't see the costs being pushed down anytime because the government is throwing out a bunch of government hand-outs. Most of the people who feel under rewarded won't really go back unless they are forced to. So I think companies will go towards automation because they won't really be able to pay those high prices.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

As wages head up, there is more incentive to go automation. So it will actually accelerate the process even more.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

We certainly are emerging out as a K-shaped recovery. However, i'm not sure what " taking off means". This is not a good thing. We misunderstand ideas like advancement. Advancement for whom? Technological advancement doesn't necessarily mean cost are going to come down effective to the people on mainstreet and not on wallstreet.

So it all depends on the government response as well to these technological leaps. Seeing that most of you in some insane sense favor neofeudalism.because you all still trying to take all you can like you've always done and not treated your surroundings like an ecosystem which you should. large economic disparity and automation taking human workers jobs.. I don't see how that could be good for most people. Seeing that most people wont benefit from that.

Corporations and their shareholders will benefit from that. However then the government will in some extreme unprepared push move us into some type of unhealthy socialism to combat this effect. It would be easier to just properly balance the economy in a way that doesn't happen.

However by the time they are through goodness knows what we'll end up with but i'm sure it wont be good if they got anything to do with it. We're going to end up with long term inflation as a by product of this. Workers get poorer every decade where is this effect of cost coming down to combat that? It's no place because if it was anyplace that counted the workers would be wealthier not poorer. That means it doesn't work. you get it? lol

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

To covid,

It is a catalyst.

IMO services will drastically increase in price in the next 12-24 months. And this will be some hidden inflation.

And I think too there will be fewer workers needed after optimization.

What I also expect is more him office, fewer commercial office renting. Could also end up in something that changes a lot in our lives over the next years.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

There is a lot that is going to change in the next 12-24 months. We are not going to see a reversal to what is been.

The question with services and pricing, how much (and quickly) does automation affect it.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta


The rewards earned on this comment will go directly to the person sharing the post on Twitter as long as they are registered with @poshtoken. Sign up at https://hiveposh.com.

pixresteemer_incognito_angel_mini.png
Bang, I did it again... I just rehived your post!
Week 66 of my contest just started...you can now check the winners of the previous week!
!BEER
13


Hey @taskmaster4450le, here is a little bit of BEER from @pixresteemer for you. Enjoy it!

Learn how to earn FREE BEER each day by staking your BEER.

Congratulations @taskmaster4450le! You have completed the following achievement on the Hive blockchain and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :

You have been a buzzy bee and published a post every day of the week

You can view your badges on your board and compare yourself to others in the Ranking
If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word STOP

To support your work, I also upvoted your post!

Your content has been voted as a part of Encouragement program. Keep up the good work!

Use Ecency daily to boost your growth on platform!

Support Ecency
Vote for Proposal
Delegate HP and earn more