RE: The Hive early adopter fallacy
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This post is a thing of beauty. I can attest, coming in around 2017, that what you say is true. I have seen people steadily build their accounts up. From nothing to respectable. I have seen them put in work to build communities. I have seen them engage with others. They've built tools. They've created radio shows. They've organized events. They meet up weekly just to talk...off chain. They invest time and money 5 dollars at a time. Simply put, they put in work. Are they whales? Not today, but if they keep going, I don't see how they couldn't be.
I made a post the other day about being the change that you want to see. I think that for many, it's just not something they think to do. You want a whale to upvote you? Do you upvote them, do you engage with them? Do their posts even interest you? Do you actually need them?? Why do you allow them to determine your success?
Let me step off the soap box since it's your thread, but suffice to say, I feel you on this one.
A lot of people chase the bog "lottery" votes, without building up a consistent user base. It takes work to build an audience, work most aren't willing to put in. If someone wants to have a changed position in life - they are the only ones likely interested - so they better be that change.