This little historical chart of Steem's price provide me hope!

in hive-167922 •  4 months ago 

Though I am a heavy crypto investor since March, 2013 who have invested more than 40 thousand USD in crypto, I have not made any penny profit yet. I have also traded cryptocurrencies for years, I have earned 300 LTC a day when it was less than $2. I have also lost 1000 LTC in a single day trading. I have also mined 5 LTC a day or 0.02 BTC a day or 5 DASH a day.

I could not keep it or sell it for profit..

However, lately I was able to manage 80K worth of Steem (i.e. Steem and Steem equivalent tribe tokens). If I count all my investment from the beginning, my dollar cost average (DCA) for Steem is around 50 cents.

As Steem is hovering below 50 cents more than 6 months, it puts doubt on my mind that will Steem ever be 50 cents again. Here is the historical chart for Steem. History seems to repeat itself at least in crypto market due to cycles of bears and bulls.

Days$0.1$0.2$0.5$1$2$5
Y1356103269545417715
N2134568292312001362
T137713771377137713771377

Interestingly, Steem has been traded at more than 50 cents at least half of its trading history. It has traded more than a dollar at least one-third of its trading history. We are at one of the longest bear market for altcoin since January 2018. Since Steem's all time high in January 3rd, Steem is declining for two years.

Theoretically, when Steem has reached 22 cents from the recent low of 10.2 cents, Steem has doubled from that low. If Steem does another double from recent high of 22 cents, then Steem can easily surpass 50 cents. The 50 cents will be a magic number since I can make some profit after six years of investment.

I don't want to sell my powered up Steem or tribe tokens. I need a high floor to sell earned Steem or tokens to incoming investors to make a steady source of income. 16 cents a Steem or 0.1 Steem a LEO does not make a sense to me right now after all these hard work and lessons.

leo_no_recovery.png

However, I have seen few investors/creators selling LEO at any price to convert to Steem. Sometimes, it feels like that tribe creators do not trust a tribe though it is developing rapidly. They just don't want to lose the opportunity of selling high before others. It is very hard for tribe token to survive since most creators get them extra just putting a tag. They don't have investor mindset to HODL to sell it higher since they mostly have not bought any token since most of them have got as free airdrop.

Interestingly, if they can HODL and wait, everybody could sell higher. However, market works on supply and demand. Probably, tribes have not achieved enough users to sustain such marketcap. Probably, @steem.leo does not deserve $67K marketcap right now.

However, it may be very early days for tribes. Hopefully, with enough onboarding of new investors who will buy from exiting investors and creators then tribe tokens will have some. Same scenario can be applied to Steem too.

Disclaimer: This opinion is not a financial advice, it my personal perspective and opinion. Please seek professionals for financial decisions. This opinion is only for educational purpose.

Image sources: Most images are open sourced (e.g. Pixabay, Wikimedia etc.) with Creative common license. Some images are used with due courtesy to respected owners.

Thanks for reading.
@dtrade
Cryptominer , occasional trader and tech blogger since 2013

Posted via Steemleo

Authors get paid when people like you upvote their post.
If you enjoyed what you read here, create your account today and start earning FREE STEEM!
Sort Order:  

I’ve been on Steem for over 3 years now and it’s been a wild rollercoaster of price action, emotions, hard forks and more. It’s been incredible to see Steem develop into the blockchain community it is today, but that isn’t without its own shortcomings and issues.

As for all the prices - Steem, Steem tokens, etc. I think (and hope) that the influx of users that will come back in when STEEM inevitably rises with the rest of the ETH/Alt market will flood into tribes and Steem-based tokens. The new users will mean more ad revenue, more usage of LeoDex, and just a generally more used blockchain.. which is what we all need at this point.

It’s kind of a chicken and egg situation though as the thing we need to happen is the thing that we also want to happen — we want the Steem price to go up which means we want more users. More users will flood into Steem when the price goes up 🤷🏽‍♂️ For now we’ll just have to sit tight and keep on buidling!

Posted via Steemleo

What do you think the effect of S-linterlands move to Ethereum will have since it remains also on the Steem blockchain?
Do you think other Dapps could be run in two places also?

Posted via Steemleo

  ·  4 months ago (edited)

As for all the prices - Steem, Steem tokens, etc. I think (and hope) that the influx of users that will come back in when STEEM inevitably rises with the rest of the ETH/Alt market will flood into tribes and Steem-based tokens.

A very likely scenario. However, making a permanent higher floor for steady income than abrupt sell could be another challenge. If such extreme bull and bear continues in altcoins. Selling near ATH and buying near ATL will be the only strategy that work. People are already conditioned to such scenario.

We need a higher floor for support price to keep all the users all the time which may be hard to achieve.

For now we’ll just have to sit tight and keep on buidling!

However, the best thing we can do as you said is BUIDL and eventually those days will come ;)

Posted via Steemleo

I think the fact that Steem spent one half it’s existence above 50 cents is encouraging. Thank you for this info and encouragement. Splinterlands just moved to Wax blockchain and now Ethereum blockchain. So I was feeling down.

Posted via Steemleo

  • Let them sell LEO) - I continue to buy ;) -

Posted via Steemleo

All my buy walls also getting filled, I am getting fatter than I wanted ;)

Posted via Steemleo

Yes, you are very big) ahah - the future of the tribe now largely depends on you;)

You post has been manually curated by BDvoter Team! To know more about us please visit our website or join our Discord.

Are you a Splinterlands player? If Yes, then checkout MonsterMarket.io. Get instant 3% cashback on every card purchase, and 2% cashback on every booster pack purchase on MonsterMarket.io. MonsterMarket has the highest revenue sharing in the space - 60% for cards and 40% for packs, no minimum spending is required. Join MonsterMarket Discord.

BDvoter Team

Thanks ;)

Posted via Steemleo

Congratulations @dtrade! You have completed the following achievement on the Steem blockchain and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :

You published a post every day of the week

You can view your badges on your Steem Board and compare to others on the Steem Ranking
If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word STOP

To support your work, I also upvoted your post!

Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness to get one more award and increased upvotes!