First CUB Prediction Market

---

I had to give it a little time, but I've been waiting for the opportunity to create the first CUB price speculation prediction market since it launched. At first I thought I would have to wait until the token started getting tracked on tradingview, but I think I've figured out a clever enough workaround involving coinmarketcap.com to keep things fair, honest, and interesting.

So if you don't know, I've been stacking a heaping helping of CUB. I've also been making some contrarian prediction markets to bet against my own investments as a sort of "one way or another I'll win on one of them" type of thing. Is it the smartest move ever? Na, but I think it's pretty fun exploring the possibilities of what we can do with prediction markets and it's fun seeing where other people are sitting on the investments that I make.

So the WLEO market I made went pretty well. I lost a lot of PAL, and @mattclarke and @nealmcspadden won a lot of PAL. The RUNE market is still going for another week or so. Now it's time for the one that I think the vast majority of us will be interested in. I present the "Will the price of CUB break $5 in the month of April?" market.

Now I really want to make this one interesting as I have quite a bit riding on CUB's long term success at the moment. I've put something like 10% of my entire crypto portfolio in. Personally I don't care if it moons in the next month or not as I went into this with the expectation to be holding long term, but I know we got a lot of moonbois around here that like to throw out insane short term numbers that just kind of make me giggle. So let's see if we're really going to launch this rocket next month.

I'll drop 5000 PAL on no, betting against my actual investment, to give all of the super bullish people the chance to come take a share of my money. That's not interesting enough though is it... hmmm... Ok I got it. If collectively the Yes side exceeds my 500 share No bet, I'll double down to 1000 No shares, just like I plan to double down on CUB if the price drops below $2.00. How's that for interesting? You'll have to trust me on the double down in both regards (check my wallet I'm good for it), but I'll drop proof in the comments of the first 500 No shares as always.

So there we have it. I'm throwing down the gauntlet. Come at me moonbois! (But for real, it's all love and hopefully we're all going to end up doing so well on CUB it'll be irrelevant in a year)

P.S. Don't let the low liquidity market on hive-engine worry you, there's a diesel pool with plenty of liquidity for PAL.

Posted Using LeoFinance ^Beta