RE: Effort And Success | Is There An Assurance That Effort Would Lead To Success?

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It's a pity but the truth remains that there are instances where people make effort without attaining success -Not all effort leads to success. This is why some students fail to succeed despite reading so much.

Thanks for highlighting this.
As I said on another post, this is something many people do not consider, they only hear of the success stories and persuade themselves they will be successful if they keep high effort.
This is the survivor bias and I really want to educate people about it. Survivor bias is a form of selection bias that overstates the likelihood of success of an initiative by focusing attention on successful subjects who are statistical exceptions ("survivors") rather than representative cases.

In the end I am not trying to discourage people from putting effort, I think they should. I just want them to be aware that it might not be sufficient, which is a pity as you said. If they are aware, it likely will hurt them less.


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Your affirmation of my content is very precise. I like it for a lot of reasons. Most importantly, l like it because it is not written with a clouded judgment.

Truth is, l can't stand failure. I don't like being around while hard-working people swim in an ocean of failure but, l also know that no matter how hard people work, most of the times, it becomes like a wasted effort because their effort just doesn't lead them to Success.

I'm sure that l haven't heard of survivor bias but l can relate to the ideas behind it.

We can't just limit our thoughts to only a positive outcome. Yeah, optimistism is a thing but we shouldn't be blinded by it.

Well Done Bro ✅

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Haha thank you.
But you know, I like optimism and I'm a very optimistic person. I think that even if effort does not lead you to success, it is not a waste.
It brings so much, from discipline and knowledge to mental force.
We could even go deeper by trying to define what is success.

Let's widen our scope, and try to be more and more lightly lit by accumulating knowledge.

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