Why to be bullish on BTC?... Here is my take

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(Edited)

I have spent a lot of evenings reading crypto charts and trying my best doing crypto price analysys, so I kind of know basics.
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Testimony to this is my cat Garu, I was doing analysis of a crypto currency graph chart and well it hung about there, (had to push him away as my computer mechanic told just see your cats don’t sit next to the heat air releasing vent on the left side of the laptop since otherwise computer’s costly inside will get cat hair(: ) ,
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but you see that I have been trying to keep pace with happenings in crypto, though nothing has been happening around the last month and therefore a deeper look into the reasons why one should be bullish on BTC in the near future (2020 -2021) is the analysis I have been reading about in news last two weeks(:

I heard the greed and fear index compass showed investors have high fear now, which is a good time to invest I heard as crypto will be in the low point. However, can’t get stressed with the price movements, BTC was not able to break the 14,000$ resistance level, it kind of finds support in the 10,000 dollar resistance level. BTC of late is not able to break the 12,000$ barrier and at times goes below 10,000 $ levels. So, according to me, that's been the price action for quite a while for BTC.
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So, why to be bullish on BTC… here is my take…

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BTC holds well in the 100 SMA in the daily charts, it’s having difficulty in breaking the 50 SMA (simple moving average) . So, this implies that there is medium/long term bullish bias on BTC, not short term.

To understand more on Simple Moving average analysis read this article on SMA

Now, going deeper into the reasons to be bullish on BTC. Let’s check them out.

**World Economy is in a slow down and European Bonds are giving negative yielding returns. **
So, investors would shift investments to other assets - yes gold definitely, maybe silver and then they have the digital gold and digital silver in the crypto space, namely BTC and LTC.

The point here is also when Bank and Govt. bonds go like this, their credibility is affected.

There is possibility of fiats of countries devaluing.

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There are various reasons for this, but it’s all related to Government’s handling of fiat. China recently devalued yuan as its move in the escalating China-US trade war. Then US did a rate cut to provide liquidity for businesses. These are ways in which Govt. manipulate fiat currency.

Now, if banks run out of fiat money say because investors have converted their fiats into cryptos or assets like gold, then Governments will print notes and put it into the economy but increasing the supply of fiat in this way devalues fiat currencies. It gives us people the picture that Government’s suck at managing money, and they would think of a currency like BTC because it’s free from Government’s control and manipulation, plus BTC has a fixed supply making it a good candidate for a hedging asset.

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More entry vehicles for BTC

Derivatives, futures contact and various products are upcoming, Bakkt being most expected. The significance of it is that institutional players can get into BTC. To know more about this read this article on Bakkt

Well, retail investors too will have entry vehicles , I heard there are products that might be coming where a portion of a person’s retirement income(pension money) would be in cryptos and I also heard that financial products that have a share in crypto along with stocks did very well this year.

Just imagine, when FOMO kicks in, or when fiat currencies devalue people would just want to have BTC without knowing or understanding about it, without caring that those third party institutions offering these BTC products would hold the person’s private key as well!!!

So, in the near future along with macro economic conditions that are favorable for investors to flee into crypto, these entry vehicles are there to welcome these investors providing them ways to get into crypto easily.

Other reasons -:
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We have more** shops, organisations accepting payment through cryptos**, with various payment apps already developed for these purposes so this way crypto adoption increases. Already, because of currency crisis countries like Venezuela and Iran have been benefited by crypto currency use.

Here is an article on how Iran got foreign aid thanks to a crypto platform that allowed people from around the world to donate in cryptos.

Lastly, bitcoin halving is coming up May 2020!!! , with mining rewards for miners reduced. The supply of BTC decreases while the demand increases because of the things discussed above, so the value of BTC could go up.



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4 comments
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the time has come for it to go up

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I love your idea of cat assistant @mintymile :)

May I ask you a question? Would you think that currently crypto market is ready for another crypto run? (it would surely attract more regulators, politicians and mass media trying to spit on it and being again very succesful with that spitting).

In my opinion this industry isn't mature enough for another wave of investors

Yours
Piotr

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(Edited)

According to me its more of storage value of BTC that people may use as hedge against fiat currency.

BTC was born for circumstances like these when Government measures affect fiat like when they keep increasing and manipulating supply of fiat, so BTC would be tested.

Of fundamentals, I am not sure, I know that entry vehicles for crypto is upcoming so everyone can invest. And rest of the public may get inside due to greed index.

I hope BTC can handle lots of transactions, it had the old scaling problem.

Projects like ETH are working to sort the scaling problems. Still many projects have to come into existence from just development like ADA.

So, products are not reached their ultimate potential but the crypto circles are saying its bullish for BTC because of macro economic conditions.

I suppose BTC has upcoming halving event and it still will store value and would be considered as hedging asset like gold, so in that respect it will be used. I am hoping scaling problems will sort, will know that in time if that lighting network works.

Yup, mature or not, people and institutions will invest/enter and it would go up, derivatives and what not coming up...

Not all alts would go up though only cryptos that are kind of made some mark would go - ETH, LTC, Steem, Dash, Chainlink...

One thing is certain cryptos like Dash, LTC are good enough for transaction, its used in Venezula, BTC donations helped Iran get funds...so yup can't say they don't work practically, let it be tested.

As said Satoshi created BTC for this!!! , its chance for BTC to prove its purpose.

I think blockchain projects like VeChain too are practically used for logistics solutions and ETH also used by so many organisations as platform.

DEFI is booming that is loans through crytos. So yup, some progress is there... but I don't know the technological side of things, as a investor I have a perceptive that a bull run of some sorts is imminent.

But mind you, its very scary, because we have to sell at one point. after a certain price high, we can't even perdict how much a price can go up.after making decent profits, profit booking and keeping stop loss is very important, so we actually benefit from price ups.

However, since bull sentiments are high, I think till BTC goes to 20,000 level of all time high I can be lazy, after that is the mad bull run, to hold our breaths and see.

I recommend you follow Datadash's channel he explains the reasons very comprehensively -
https://staging.busy.org/@nicholasmerten

https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=datadash

According to me he is good in these reasoning.. its good to see his perspectives. He gives amazing insights on crypto on a deeper level.

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Thanks for your amazing comment @mintymile

I just had a chance to read it with quite delay.

Yours,
Piotr

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