Simon Black Predicts the Future From the Past

I follow Simon's Sovereign Man blog. This is the email I received from him yesterday.

July 25, 2022

In the year 1445 in the Spanish city of Valencia, a 14-year old boy named Rodrigo started his first job as the ‘sacristan’ of the local cathedral.

Becoming sacristan was a pretty big responsibility, especially for a kid; Rodrigo was basically put in charge of the cathedral’s books, records, and high-value assets. But this was no ordinary 14-year old boy.

Rodrigo was a member of the prominent Borgia family, which was something like the Clinton family of the 15th century. So, unsurprisingly, young Rodrigo quickly rose through the ranks of the church.

In 1455, when Rodrigo was 24 years old, his uncle Alonso became Pope Callixtus III. Almost immediately after, Rodrigo was appointed Bishop of Valenica, then Cardinal, then Vice-Chancellor of the entire Catholic Church.

He held that position for more than three decades, during which time he plundered his office for personal gain.

Rodrigo’s corruption was so legendary, in fact, that his surname (Borgia) became synonymous in the Italian language for graft, nepotism, and moral degeneracy.

During his time as Vice Chancellor, he fathered seven illegitimate children with his many mistresses. He regularly organized and attended orgies, including some allegedly held at the Vatican.

He handed out offices to his corrupt family members, blackmailed his opponents, and even used the Papal Army to suppress his enemies.

What’s more, everybody knew it. Rodrigo Borgia didn’t even bother hiding transgressions... he was a known criminal.

But it didn’t matter. He had acquired so much power that, when Pope Innocent VIII died exactly 530 years ago today on July 25, 1492, the College of Cardinals chose Rodrigo Borgia to be the new pope.

When news spread that the corrupt Rodrigo Borgia was the new pope, people were utterly disgusted.

This was a time when trust and confidence in the Catholic Church was rapidly eroding. Rodrigo Borgia (now known as Pope Alexander VI) was just one example of a larger problem within the church.

Church officials everywhere sold offices, stole money, and hypocritically violated the very commandments that they preached to their followers.

People knew it. They weren’t stupid. They knew their ‘leaders’ were lying to them. The knew the rot and corruption ran deep.

Does any of this sound familiar?

Consider the extraordinary investment skills of US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Oh sorry, I mean Pelosi’s “husband”, whose stock market returns make Warren Buffett look like a foolish amateur.

His latest blockbuster trade was to load up on the stock of chip producer Nvidia, right before Congress decided to vote on new legislation that will shower Nvidia with free government money.

Pelosi, of course, insists that she does not give any stock advice to her husband.

No one believes her. Everyone knows she is a lying crook. And yet she has clung to the highest positions of power for years and years.

Similarly, people notice these global elites who fly on their private jets to climate conferences so they can talk about how to get the peasants to eat bugs and weeds in order to reduce CO2 emissions.

People also notice that the Justice Department is openly weighing whether to wait until after the mid-term election to charge the President’s son with corruption and tax crimes, if they charge him at all.

And yet the same Justice Department has been tasked with going after parents who are angry that their children are being indoctrinated with woke school curriculum.

People also noticed when their central bankers engaged in what is tantamount to insider trading… yet have been totally clueless and incompetent about inflation.

For the last two years, people noticed the blatant lies and hypocrisy with COVID-19 lockdown rules. Politicians and public health officials screamed at the public to wear a mask, then immediately took theirs off when they thought the cameras were no longer rolling.

They told people to stay home and cower in fear, but then held lucrative political fundraisers for themselves (California governor Gavin Newsom)… or just went to the hairdresser (Pelosi) because “I take my personal hygiene very seriously” (Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot).

Over the weekend, a committee from the World Health Organization met to determine whether or not this monkeypox outbreak constitutes a “public health emergency of international concern” or ‘PHEIC’.

After deliberating for several hours, the committee did NOT decide that monkeypox is a PHEIC.

Now, this is a committee of ‘experts’, i.e. people who have been specifically chosen by the World Health Organization to serve on this committee because of their renown and expertise in the fields of public health and infectious disease.

And the committee of experts did not deem monkeypox to be a public health emergency.

We’ve been told for more than two years to trust the science, trust the experts. So in theory, that should have been the end of the story.

But the Director General of the World Health Organization, Dr. Tedros Adhanom, released his own order, overriding the committee of experts.

“I have decided,” Dr. Tedros told the world on Saturday, “that the global monkeypox outbreak represents a public health emergency of international concern.”

So… forget everything they said about trusting the experts. Apparently we should only trust the experts until a higher ranking politician settles the science for all of us. He has decided.

It really is extraordinary that these people still think they have any credibility.

No one trusts Tedros or the World Health Organization. No one trusts Congress. Trust and confidence in nearly every major institution, including Big Tech companies, media, banks, schools, and even the healthcare system, has plummeted over the last few years.

But this is no reason for despair. The world has been in this situation before.

In the late 1400s and early 1500s, trust and confidence were also plummeting. Rodrigo Borgia-- Pope Alexander VI-- was widely despised. And he was merely a symptom of the distrust people felt about the Church.

But the tides were turning.

Only a few years later, Martin Luther penned his famous 95 Theses, launching what would become a new era for the world.

Historians call this period of history the Reformation; and during that time, the Church’s grip on power and authority quickly waned, paving the way for the Renaissance and Enlightenment in which new innovations vastly improved quality of life.

It’s important to note that the Reformation would not have been possible had it not been for the relatively new technology that had emerged in Europe-- the printing press.

For the first time ever, new ideas could circulate across the continent and be widely disseminated in a matter of weeks. The printing press even made it possible to read the works of authors who had been banned (and the authorities were not shy about canceling anyone they deemed a threat.)

Today we have similar level of distrust as people had in the 1500s. We also have similar emerging technology. And I’m not just talking about the Internet, which is like the modern day printing press.

We also have relatively new technology like blockchain, which has been engineered specifically to maximize trust and decentralization. And it’s just getting started.

Life must have seemed pretty bleak in the early 1500s. Trust was at a low, and people were frustrated.

I believe we’re in a similar position right now. But that also means we’re on the cusp of a new Renaissance… and that the old power structure is on the way out.

People like Tedros, Pelosi, clueless central bankers, and their whole lot are trying as hard as they can to make themselves and their offices irrelevant. And they’re succeeding.

To your freedom,

Simon Black

I find Simon's arguments extremely compelling. But I don't think cryptocurrencies are the only equivalent of the printing press in the 16th Century. Across every field of industry today, decentralization is the cutting edge of technological advance. From agriculture to rocket science, technology is enabling ever less expensive and smaller means of production to replace the centralized factories that formerly required massive capitalization in that industry.

Aquaponics is raising aquatic species like tilapia or crayfish and using the water enriched with their waste to provide nutrients to garden plants, which are grown in trays (hydroponics) rather than dirt. LED lights make such hydroponic gardens possible to grow in a sunny window or a windowless garage with equal facility and low power costs.

In rocket science Relativity Space is 3D printing spaceships today. There is a 3D printer on the International Space Station that has now been manufacturing since 2014. NASA has funded Archinaut One to begin 3D printing large spaceship parts in space, perhaps this year.

The printing press changed the world, decentralizing information and enabling ordinary people to be as learned as the nobility. Today decentralization is enabling ordinary people to make everything necessary to civilization, and that manufacturing ability is possible everywhere in the universe people can go. You can buy an entry level 3D printer for ~$200 and use the same technology NASA is using in space, and you can do it on your kitchen table.

It is hard to imagine today the conditions 15th Century peasants survived, knowing only what the horribly corrupt Church and Nobility they were enslaved to allowed them to know. The Reformation cost a lot of lives, political power was completely uprooted and eventually resulted in the American Revolution, in which every individual person was recognized to be sovereign, over 90% of them could read and write, and the United States government enabled them to rule themselves for the first time in history.

The new Reformation is going to reach far beyond Earth, and the prosperity and felicity that our posterity will enjoy is unimaginable to us today, just like 15th Century peasants could not have imagined being sovereign as kings and popes. It's going to be a difficult transition. Lives will be lost, empires will fall, and everything we think is true will change. I think it is obvious that in a few short centuries our posterity will look back on the 21st Century with the same bafflement we regard pre-Reformation society with.

Prior to the Reformation everyone was considered property of sovereign kings. The Reformation recognized every person to be sovereign, equal to any overlord. The present reformation will eliminate overlords. Those that best understand the developing decentralized technology and how to benefit from it will best transition to the coming golden age.

I recommend being as far ahead of the curve as you can get.



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Except it's not decentralized. There's the hierarchy, the middle man, and the little person just like in real life. I've often wondered how greedy people have to be that they can't even upvote you one single penny for posting under their tags. It's not like they have to like everything you write but you know they can't hate everything you write when the things you write vary. Or even just the basic fact you make their tags spin, if no one used them they'd go the way others have and no one would post under them. If you think hard about it or are compelled to it's the worst of the worst. Their level of greed, in that regard, is worse than any politicians or religious leaders out there. At least the politicians will fund some basic necessities for people and local churches will fund out for some hot dogs and a few cans of beans, but the majority of supposed decentralized blockchain people won't even give so much as a penny.

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(Edited)

"Except it's not decentralized. There's the hierarchy, the middle man, and the little person just like in real life."

It is real life. Hierarchy isn't centralization. Middle men are increasingly deprecated as decentralized production is adopted, and ever more specialized, and thus decentralized, as the diversity of production requires specificity. The little person is the one that last adopts the means of production suitable to their personal circumstances. The benefits of production accumulate, so those that do so first accumulate the most benefits, and the last accumulate the least.

"I've often wondered how greedy people have to be that they can't even upvote you one single penny for posting under their tags."

I've noticed some requesting support for their proposals, yet failing to even vote on posts they use to make their requests, and this despite them constantly being upvoted. It's not greedy. It's just rude. I haven't mentioned it, not even replied, because such social ineptitude is pretty common on social media.

Sometimes you get pretty off the rails, LOL.

I will point out that because of your particular way of looking at things, your criticism is particularly valuable to me, precisely because it is off the rails. You have a unique way of looking at things that forces me to reconsider my understanding, to look at my way of looking, from your perspective, and that is extremely useful.

Thanks!

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My kids always say I have to look at things ten different ways before making a decision. LOL.

Thanks, it's nice to know that what I say doesn't always fall on death ears.

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(Edited)

It is hard to imagine today the conditions 15th Century peasants survived, knowing only what the horribly corrupt Church and Nobility they were enslaved to allowed them to know. The Reformation cost a lot of lives, political power was completely uprooted and eventually resulted in the American Revolution, in which every individual person was recognized to be sovereign, over 90% of them could read and write, and the United States government enabled them to rule themselves for the first time in history.

The new Reformation is going to reach far beyond Earth, and the prosperity and felicity that our posterity will enjoy is unimaginable to us today, just like 15th Century peasants could not have imagined being sovereign as kings and popes. It's going to be a difficult transition. Lives will be lost, empires will fall, and everything we think is true will change. I think it is obvious that in a few short centuries our posterity will look back on the 21st Century with the same bafflement we regard pre-Reformation society with.

Prior to the Reformation everyone was considered property of sovereign kings. The Reformation recognized every person to be sovereign, equal to any overlord. The present reformation will eliminate overlords. Those that best understand the developing decentralized technology and how to benefit from it will best transition to the coming golden age.

Dear @valued-customer , Do you argue that decentralized technologies based on blockchain and cryptocurrency can free people from the domination of overlords?
Perhaps, like you, English is a native language, and for someone who is a US citizen and is familiar with decentralization technology through blockchain, this is an appropriate analogy.

In the world I live in now, most people do not know the concept of blockchain and decentralization.
Because the manufacturing industry has collapsed because of Chinese products, most of the lower classes live on unemployment benefits from the state.

The ruling class of the country is also clinging to cryptocurrency speculation.😅
Perhaps they will further exploit the common people through cryptocurrency.

Finally, In my view, the majority of the common people will either become slaves dependent on state unemployment benefits or become riotous terrorists.

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"Do you argue that decentralized technologies based on blockchain and cryptocurrency can free people from the domination of overlords?"

Yes, I do, though not crypto alone. I note that the structure of the physical universe is the reason that decentralization is today the cutting edge of technological advance in every field of industry. The laws of physics cannot be amended. There is no august body of corruptible legislators that have drafted them, and who can be bribed to alter them. Overlords are dependent on centralization, and absent technology, or in the coming circumstance that means of production are decentralized, overlords are prevented from parasitizing production.

Overlords are a side effect of centralized industrial technology, which I have attempted to show is a temporary phase of technological advance, during which crude and massive devices are necessary to produce goods and services. In the absence of mechanized means of production individuals produce goods by hand that they themselves consume. In decentralized production of modern goods, no massive capitalization controlled by overlords is necessary, and overlords are unable to profit from providing capital funding inexpensive tools, because no such funding is necessary for inexpensive tools. Only the intervening and temporary condition, the initial transformation of non-industrial production to industrial, mechanized production and it's developments requiring massive mechanisms and capitalization, enables overlords to parasitize production and extract wealth and power from collectivized production.

Because industry is becoming modern and machines becoming sufficiently sophisticated to be small and inexpensive, collectivized production is being deprecated, capitalization is becoming unnecessary, and centralization of production is eliminated because it is not the most advanced technology which produces the highest productivity, and is noncompetitive with higher productivity technology.

Overlords are singularly focused on their personal wealth and power, and do not care (despite their rhetoric) about society or civilization at all. They only care that they rule over society so that they are able to maintain their obscene wealth and power relative to their slaves. Since they cannot change the laws of physics and prevent decentralization of means of production, they seek other means of retaining their parasitic pipeline funneling wealth to themselves.

Preventing decentralized production, preventing the advance of technology where it enables individual households and small communities to retain the benefits of production, by the various means available, such as psychological manipulation, force projected by armed gangs of thugs, or deprivation of industrial feedstocks yet centralized, are all ongoing means being undertaken today by overlords to prevent the cessation of parasitization they depend on.

Greta browbeats us all. 'How dare you!' produce goods and services profitably, and the false claim that CO2 changes climate is massively trumpeted by centralized media controlled by overlords. Armed gangs of thugs are conspicuously obvious in the application of institutional centralization to restrict decentralized production, and corporations are eliminating inexpensive and reliable petroleum resources available to individuals that enable energy and chemical feedstocks for decentralized production.

All of these mechanisms will fail to surmount the laws of physics and the indomitable human spirit in time. They are doomed to fail, and oligarchs to fall, but until they are defeated they will extract a price in blood and suffering of people seeking to make a living and deliver to their posterity that felicity and prosperity they are due.

"...the majority of the common people will either become slaves dependent on state unemployment benefits or become riotous terrorists."

Defending ourselves from evil overlords is not terrorism. It is overlords that are terrorists. It is overlords that seek to cause terror with lies about climate change, with armies of thugs committing savage and brutal acts of violence, and corrupting the institutions that were previously necessary to govern ourselves during the centralization phase of industrial production, now obsolete as overlords themselves.

Freedom is not optional, slavery is not acceptable, and I will not allow my beloved sons to be enslaved while I live and breathe, no matter psychopathic terrorists' demands.

Thanks!

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Dear my senior @valued-customer, I will slowly translate your magnificent and great sentences.

Defending ourselves from evil overlords is not terrorism. It is overlords that are terrorists. It is overlords that seek to cause terror with lies about climate change, with armies of thugs committing savage and brutal acts of violence, and corrupting the institutions that were previously necessary to govern ourselves during the centralization phase of industrial production, now obsolete as overlords themselves.

Freedom is not optional, slavery is not acceptable, and I will not allow my beloved sons to be enslaved while I live and breathe, no matter psychopathic terrorists' demands.

Christians in the world I live in are being taught by pastors to obey overlords.
Many pastors insist that Christians live on the kindness and benevolence of overlords.

My esteemed senior @valued-customer, perhaps you should definitely go to jail in the world I live in.
Even the ministers will say that you are a fox that destroys the vineyard of the Lord.😨

I envy America where people like you can live freely.😅 I have to live like a slave now.

I admire your reckless courage!
I hope your health and long life!

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"...you should definitely go to jail..."

is contradictory to

"...you can live freely."

Make up your mind!

LOL

Be well, my friend.

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