RE: What's The Best Strategy?

About Putin pressing the button:

At the moment it is almost obvious that him putting this threat on the table is a desperate move. If his invasion in Ukraine was a walk in the garden he wouldn't have to say anything like that. He's nervous. Listening to the way Lavrov used the same threat later made this threat sound even more empty to my ears. Russia wanted to make this sound like "we touch the button" but that's not it and even Yeltsin's Minister of Foreign found it laughable.

HOWEVER, and contrary to the above, I do believe that in front of his end (political or real) Putin might not have regrets about giving such a command as his last card to play. He already lives isolated, in his mind he has no problems to continue living like that post nuking. I equally believe though that this command has good chances to not be executed. Some people think there's a button at Putin's office. That's far from truth. The whole procedure is a lot more manned than some might think. There's good chances that at least one man in the chain will decide to make history in a good way and not a bad one. Science fiction? Wishful thinking? In any case it won't be the first time something like this happened:

Back in the cold war days (we would say 1st cold war if this is the 2nd one but it is already too hot) the giant Soviet radar located in Ukraine (close to Chernobyl) in order to track missile activity (google it, it's an impressive ugly thing) started giving alarm one night. The Russian who was in charge didn't decide to respond and launch missiles because fortunately he was smart enough to find the alarm suspicious as it showed intense missile activity against Russia while US had no reason then to do so. Luckily for us he made a good guess. And he put common sense and humane thinking above all.

As for investing strategies on times like these we have a saying in Greece which is like "If it won't rain it will snow" mocking on wannabe prophets. We're in full uncertainty which offers only one sure thing: Unfollow analysts who tell you to do this or do that. We don't know how long the war will last, how wide it might evolve, if the Russian society protests strong and early enough, if there will be a military coup in Russia and the list goes on. The only thing that's for sure is that Putin managed to unite the free world more than ever and we gotta credit this ass for that.