Chart Patterns Talk & Bitcoin

The problem with longer term Bitcoin analysis is that often times the market doesn't move.

It's been twenty-two days from my last chart overview. Bitcoin had touched the 40k range, on 28th of Jan., and I said it would need a weekly close above 43k to keep on going higher. It didn't. It's been oscillating — which is a supposed accumulation pattern — between 37,000 and mid 40,000.

Latest update: Inflation incoming, Brazil & Bitcoin update

Chart overview

Charting is almost Tarot. It's highly-subjective, often based on probability, and a way to try and understand the market sentiment. Some people work with indicators, others see the price action, a rare breed of chartists use Elliot Waves. I like patterns. Not only do patters give a glimpse of market sentiment, but also a long-recorded history provides us with probabilities. So, I'd like to share a weekly chart dating back to when I first began to study the subject, in 2017.


Bitcoin long-overview weekly chart

The first mega pattern happened in 2018. We can clearly see a descending triangle indicating loss of buying momentum. Buyers are defending the 6k range, while sellers are getting more anxious to sell. This happens because, most likely, those who bought tops are negative and eager to recover some of the investment back. When those people realize Bitcoin is not reaching their buying entry, they sell. Eventually, the price drops below the support line, triggering a cascade of stop-losses.

The second mega pattern developed between Jul. 19 and Jul. 20. That's called a descending broadening wedge, or mega phone. The broadening wedge is tricky and reflects disagreement in the market. However, it is a bullish reversal 80% of the time.

The last mega pattern is developing right now and is named as rectangle formation. The rectangle can serve as either a reversal or continuation formation, acting as a tug of war between buyers and sellers. Ultimately, either accumulation or distribution prevails, and the price breakout or breakdown.

Is this rectangle accumulation or distribution?

A few factors make me believe we are seeing a continuation pattern (accumulation). It's the perfect storm.

  • the world is experiencing negative interest rates;
  • there's an economic world war;
  • inflation is rising;
  • fiats losing value (and trust);
  • people realizing the government can seize their currency;

It's worth noting: this analysis is based on my subjective interpretation of Bitcoin's value. Speculators and big market makers might see it differently and decide to move the whole market down, even though I don't see that movement. (We'll se on the daily chart).

The daily chart

Inside the rectangle things are interesting. Ever since I last posted a chart analysis, Bitcoin has been forming an often bullish ascending triangle.

On the ascending triangle, the horizontal line represents overhead supply that prevents the security from moving past a certain level. It is as if a large sell order has been placed at this level and it is taking a number of weeks or months to execute, thus preventing the price from rising further. Even though the price cannot rise past this level, the reaction lows continue to rise. It is these higher lows that indicate increased buying pressure and give the ascending triangle its bullish bias.Stock Charts


Bitcoin daily chart

There's been significant volume defending the mid 30,000 range, which indicates it's a matter of time until the market swallows the overhead supply. The war and several mining bans may be the cause for the selling pressure at 45,000.

How long until it's breached? If Bitcoin is able to breach the 45,000 range with significant volume, I don't see why it wouldn't head to the upper resistance line at 65,000. If it doesn't break upwards on the triangle... then we might see a nasty retreat down to 30k.

Ichimoku Cloud

Sometimes I like to see the Ichimoku indicators to have an idea of what's going on. At the moment, Bitcoin has entered the no-trade zone inside the cloud. It's also touching the 200 day EMA and the Tenkan is barely above the Kijun.


Bitcoin daily Ichimoku

Ideally, Bitcoin needs to consolidate a support above the 200 day EMA before it can move higher. Then, I'd like to see a cloud flip, as shown in the orange circle, which are good signs of a price reversal. Only time will tell.


It's hard to give an unbiased analysis as a Bitcoiner. However, keep in mind: The fundamentals (subjective) are solid; the tech is proving bomb-proof; and the future of fiat currencies is uncertain. If people haven't realized by now the role of Bitcoin in this wild world, they won't ever understand the value of freedom.

Let's keep on watching the price and accumulating those sats.


Posted Using LeoFinance Beta


Notice many "new users" on Hive? Not many, like this place is a disease. No outside communities bringing in new comers. No other sites having many links or no links to any articles from Hive on sites that show professional interests they view as noteworthy to a profession or hobby. Hive articeles are rare on Wouldnt people post on with links to their articles attracting their own new following and groups? No crypto forums acknowledge Hive exists as a place to be either. Ever seen a person asking for support show a way to give support with HIVE listed as a supporting wallet address? Is there a world address on Hive for countries made more unfortunate because of Hive? Would a large Hive holder or large earner of Hive donate a LARGE amount of Hive to help support Ukraine? What? Support something thing that could attract unwanted media attention? Nothing to see here......I dont get out much though.

People are hiding exposure to Hive. People either play dumb, could be scared or intimidated, mislead or dont beilieve it. Maybe just not electronically cultured enough to know. Who knows. Its mostly fake with fake attention paid for by people with ill intentions as many do gloating in their own groups special mindset. Such a small town here to support this kind of high pay. Who is buying Hive tokens with no notable new user base coming in? People trying to buy this place as a grooming ground on the sly. Articles that arent in the interests of their own goals and views dont get much attention. I dont see many high paid articles I would put on a real news sites or link to as noteworthy. Be part of one of their groups and they groom you. They buy comment and article writers in ways that keep their lies hidden. Here to take our FREEDOMS completely in treason as the sacks of shit they are.

Most interest groups and businesses have discord rooms on the side because they wont talk here or more able to teach views there to shill out of public view. They can do odd stuff to you in discord rooms they cant do here. I’ve seen people get mugged and shaken down in discords, be careful while visiting new discords, even if they are a business. They shut down the discord room along with all of the evidence of their crimes the group around @fyrstikken and his discord server @steemspeak. They also hide behind skirts there while on the creep like they do in the new ones they are in.

The operators doing V2K with remote neural monitoring want me to believe this lady @battleaxe is an operator. She is involved in the same discord groups around @fyrstikken and friends. Her discord is Battleaxe#1003. Shes in some groups with seemingly detached characters that dont even acknowledge the others in the group, looking oddly staged. She starts projects and does nothing with it or the delegations after its used to sway people. Like @steempowertwins does<------fake along with her @teamgood <------fake. No substance in her comments and has a following that adores her for what? Life coach she is not nor is she insightful with any meaningful skills to follow. Ruler of pixie dust maybe? I would like for someone to show me but probably wont out fear maybe? @fyrstikken groups around him down voted me into censored and not viewable on my accounts as soon I told what they were doing.

I cant prove @battleaxe is the one directly doing the V2K and RNM. Doing it requires more than one person at the least. It cant be done alone. She cant prove she is not one of the ones doing V2K because she cant and could care less. I guarantee she knows this is going around and still wont prove it because she cant. Many of us here can prove what they have been doing to survive the past 5 years. What does she live off of? It definitely isnt in public view here.

I was drugged in my home covertly, it ended badly. They have been trying to kill me using RNM with applied V2K mental games while revealing as many accessories to the crime as they can. I bet nobody does anything at all. Ask @battleaxe to prove it. I bet she wont. Pretty serious accusations to just blow off and leave the crypto community hanging in fear of this danger.

They want me to believe the V2K and RNM in me is being broadcast from her location. And what the fuck is "HOMELAND SECURITY" doing about this shit? I think stumbling over their own dicks maybe? Just like they did and are doing with the Havana Syndrome. They should start by looking at the communications between the top witnesses of Hive and the connection to @fyrstikken groups. Google his fucking name and see where his other interests lie around at least once maybe? The connections between @fyrstikken groups and all the exchanges built for Hive? Bet that would reveal some crazy ball less nutty shit. Homeland security should start preparing for their own incarcerations seeing how sloppy this was done. Patriot act my ass. Think we are really fools? Bad position your not getting out of. Dont be last to blow the whistle. Who will protect you?

People in and around @fyrstikkens groups are reckless and should have shown the proper media what they had before taking me hostage for 5 long torturing years and counting. That is a long time to wait for someone to die.

What would you say while having a gun pointed at your head from an undisclosed location? Have people find it? My hands are tied while they play like children with a gun to my head. Its a terrorist act on American soil while some yawn and say its not real or Im a mental case. Many know its real. This is an ignored detrimental to humanity domestic threat. Ask informed soldiers in the American military what their oath is and why nothing is being done. Nobody has I guess. Maybe someone told ill informed soldiers they cant protect America from military leaders in control that have ill intent. How do we protect locked up soldiers prevented from telling the truth from being treated as criminals? Not to mention civilians we let our leaders treat the same way.