Positive Feedback Loop

avatar

close InfinityEternityEndlessLoop85696133.jpg

t1.png

Lot's of crazy stuff doing down.

Ripple's XRP up 124% in 7 days? It's easily recaptured the top #3 spot back from Tether. If you'll recall, the market has reached maximum greed when XRP flips ETH. Be on the lookout. It may be no-dip-November today, but in a week it will be "Definitely Going to Dip December". Tread carefully.

Ethereum.

ETH is going nuts because ETH 2.0 is about to launch next month... hopefully on the 1st. Normally I would say this is a buy the rumor, sell the news situation, but this time around I have no idea. 524,288 ETH needs to enter the ETH 2.0 contract before the network can even launch.

Is ETH price sustainable?

It wasn't that long ago that I was margin-trading ETH using MakerDAO loans. It was a very risky play that has now paid off big time. It's nice to get a victory after a year of getting dumped on constantly. However, now I'm in a position wondering if I should pay back my loan or let it ride for a few more weeks.

This isn't your classic ETH pump/dump. The potential fundamentals here are insanely massive. It's being claimed that ETH will be at least 64 times faster (and potentially 64 times cheaper) after this upgrade to proof-of-stake goes live. On top of that, the upgrades that can be made to the new chain can ramp that number up exponentially in the months and years to come.

DeFi has been held back a lot due to Ethereum gas fees. If said fees are suddenly 100 times less that allows everyone to jump back into it and get to business. This is exactly the kind of upgrade everyone has been waiting for, for quite some time. "Selling the news" might be an extremely incorrect play if ETH 2.0 even delivers one tenth of what it is promising.

This puts me in an awkward position, but whatever.
It's a nice problem to have at the end of the day month.

eth2eth2.0.jpg

Alt Season?

The crazy thing is that Bitcoin is just holding steady while everything else gets pumped. This signals to me that Bitcoin is being traded for alts, but the accounts selling alts are holding the Bitcoin. Because Bitcoin is being traded for alts but that same Bitcoin is not being traded for USD, we see a steady price while the alts rise "for free". Pretty crazy when you think about it.


Either that or the corporations are still buying every dip and stopping all dips from occurring in the process.

Personally I think it's the former. During this ultra-strong bull market users are afraid to take gains in the form of fiat and potentially miss out on the next run up. Rather than sell to USD they'd simply rather lower their risk by acquiring more Bitcoin. Quite the feedback loop.


Paypal and Greyscale

Institutional investment is ramping up. Due to the COVID 'emergency' many people are being allowed to tap into their retirement accounts without the associated penalties. I've seen a few claims on Twitter of people emptying the entirety of their accounts into Bitcoin. Pretty wild.

Paypal on the other hand is allowing a completely new and diverse market to enter the ecosystem by proxy. They are rolling things out slowly and are making sure everything is within compliance and regulation. I think crypto should see a pretty nice bump when they open up the doors for Venmo users, because that demographic is younger and way more likely to be interested in DLT.

Conclusion

Everything is looking up and the market is riding high. This local bull run could be the biggest one ever if you're not counting the mega-bull runs that happen every four years from the halving event. That monster should still be about a year away.

If the market does go somewhere crazy in the next two months (talking like $60,000 Bitcoin) this could be a major setback in terms of comparing 2021 to 2017. The summer 2019 volcano bull run took 6 months to equalize. Rather than getting small pump/dumps every quarter like we did last time it might be quite uneventful if the market needs to cool off for 6 months after this one. I guess we'll play it by ear and see.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta



0
0
0.000
25 comments
avatar

I think Neal mentioned in the Leo podcast that Chines miners have some problems with the government so they are not able to sell at the moment. That could also play a part in BTC price.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000
avatar

Hm, yeah... that for sure plays a factor. However, when we look at who's buying and the shear volume around this historically bullish period... inflation generated by a group of people in one part of the world isn't a huge deciding factor. Certainly it makes the supply crunch worse but I'm not sure how much worse. How much higher does Bitcoin need to go to lure holders into selling the share of coins that Chinese miners can't get rid of? No idea.

0
0
0.000
avatar

How much higher does Bitcoin need to go to lure holders into selling the share of coins

no idea, i don't even know how much you need to own to be ready to sell something :D my pathetic amount makes me cry even when i am trading 50$ to get hive or eth. Wanted to buy few more opendime-s but my only reasonable option is buying with BTC, so i just gave up as i don't want to spend it :D

0
0
0.000
avatar

XRP has an airdrop on the 12th of December. The Flare network will be airdropping their currency called Spark 1:1 to XRP holders on certain exchanges. That news has been around for a while, so I'm not sure why XRP has gone crazy over the last two days...

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

I'm more worried about over-leveraged(-/loaned) shit-fiat-token tether..

make tether number go up

EniNM9hUcAACVgh.jpeg

while new supply just breaks all highs (tether devaluated by 80%), volume stays the same..

you can't get real USD for your tether..

but all probably just think: dude, talking about tether is waaay too 2019!

0
0
0.000
avatar

Tether is definitely a big worry long term, but it can't collapse in a bull market.

Now, if tether is really being printed without new reserves and just used to pump bitcoin, this is VERY bullish. Imagine having a money printing machine pumping bitcoin, it's the ultimate irony for the fed.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000
avatar

wooohooo I'm so happy that tether foundation gets cheap BTC with their fake ass bs tether :))

0
0
0.000
avatar

2021 will be the biggest fucking year for crypto.

I think we are in the disbelief phase, would you agree?

0
0
0.000
avatar

It's going crazy and it's like crypto world is on fire and I like when i see price sky rocketing when when I don't any of them

0
0
0.000
avatar

Everything is looking up and the market is riding high. This local bull run could be the biggest one ever if you're not counting the mega-bull runs that happen every four years from the halving event. That monster should still be about a year away.

imagine a potential bullrun next year, Bitcoin at 100k, Ethereum at 20k, LEO at $ 100!

A mirage? Who knows!

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000
avatar

The bull is here and ravishes all the cryptocurrencies regardless if some are more valuable than the others. It's a craziness on the market that reminds me from 2017, I just want to see if it will hold or retrace back to new minimums. I would say no, but who knows...

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000
avatar

This isn't your classic ETH pump/dump. The potential fundamentals here are insanely massive. It's being claimed that ETH will be at least 64 times faster (and potentially 64 times cheaper) after this upgrade to proof-of-stake goes live.

Happy for the whole ETH HODLers

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000
avatar

I'm in exactly the same position as you. I am leveraged up on Eth on binance and have and a huge unrealized profit. But since Eth staking has now reached its required level, we are in an even better spot!

I think it is a buy the rumor sell the news event. Not in the long term, but probably in the short term. Although I could see Eth reaching $1,000 without a substantial correction.

But, in terms of the trade, closing the long on November 30/December 1st is the right play imo.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000
avatar

Yeah I think you're right. The chances that ETH goes up on December 1st because everything worked out perfectly is pretty much zero imo.

0
0
0.000
avatar

Bitcoin is being traded for alts, but the accounts selling alts are holding the Bitcoin. Because Bitcoin is being traded for alts but that same Bitcoin is not being traded for USD

Is it a good signalnor bad I amnnot abke to unde2/analyze?

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000
avatar

I didn't know this:

Institutional investment is ramping up. Due to the COVID 'emergency' many people are being allowed to tap into their retirement accounts without the associated penalties.

Wow you would think my broker would let me know. Now I have to decide, do I hold onto the dividend paying stocks I bought at all time lows in March when I discovered a huge cash position in my IRA I was saving for a crash that actually happened and buy Bitcoin on the next dip?

Decisions...decisions... I need more information...@nealmcspadden have you done a post on this?

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000